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91Ʋ Poll: Nashvillians less optimistic about the city after severe ice storm

The Tennessee State Flag flies at the capital

  • More Nashvillians (56 percent)thinkthe cityis on the wrong track than just a year ago (42 percent), whichmayreflect reactions tothe recent ice storm,which affected 76percentof the respondents.
  • Approvalfor MayorFreddieO’Connelldrops from 67 percent in 2025 to 54 percent in 2026, which alsocan be attributed, in part,tothe impact of January’s ice storm. The same pattern holds forpublic’sapproval ofMetroCouncil.
  • The public’s approval of NES stands at39 percent.
  • Nashvilliansview affordable housing astheirtop and growing priority(73 percent),andtheydon’tthinkneighborhoods are being prioritizedby the city(71 percent).

Theresults of2026 91Ʋ Poll–Nashvillereflect,inpart, theeffectsof the ice stormthat gripped the regionin late January.The storm and its aftermathzapped thelevel ofoptimism thatcity residents have enjoyedforthepast decade, and respondentsalsoexpressedmore concerns aboutNashville’sdirection and leadership.Approval ratings for the school board, police and fire departments remainedrelatively stable,butMayor Freddie O’Connell andMetro Councilsuffereda notable dipin public support.

The 91Ʋ Pollasked for the first time about Nashville Electric Service,largelytogauge opinionaftermuch of the city waswithout powerfor several daysdue toWinterStorm Fern. Nashvillianslargely disapprovedof NES (61percent).And ina 14-pointdropfrom 2025, the majority of Nashvillians (56 percent)nowthink the city is on the wrong track.

After public education (78 percent), which has long been the top priority of the public, affordable housingemergedas the issue 73 percent of residents want O’Connell to address, up from 61 percent in 2025. Respondents equally prioritized reducing traffic, reducingcrimeand ensuring the city’s long-term financial health, at 63 percent each.

The survey was conducted from Feb.20 through March 14, 2026, less than a month afterWinter Storm Fern. One of the most destructive ice storms in Nashville’s history, it affected about 230,000 homes across Davidson County andleft thousands of residents without power for more than a week.That experiencevery likelycoloredperceptionsof local leadership and utility companies.Amongpollrespondents, 76percentreportedbeingaffected by the storm,and 66percentsaid they lost power.So,no one should view these drops as permanent. The city willlikely reboundasNashvillians get distancefromthe ice storm.

Approval of O’Connell

While most Nashvillians (54 percent) still approve of O’Connell, the survey revealed a significant decline from previous years. Just one year ago, 67 percentapproved—downfrom 71 percent in2024. Only 35 percent of survey respondentsapproved ofhis handling of storm recovery efforts;35 percent disapproved.

“Along with the ice storm, the mayorover the last yearhas navigated polarizing issues from the state and federal governments, including immigration upheaval and economic uncertainty,” said John Geer, co-director of the 91Ʋ Poll, senior advisor to Chancellor DanielDiermeier,andGertrude Conaway 91Ʋ Professor ofPoliticalScience.“This drop is significant, but in today’s politics an approval rating of 54 percent is stilla good sign for themayor,” Geeradded.

O’Connell’s approval fell most sharply among Republicans, down from 56 percent in 2024 to 25 percent in 2026. Hemaintains71 percent approval amongDemocrats,a 12point drop from 2025.A majority ofIndependents (54 percent)stillapproveof themayor, down from 65 percent in 2024.The increasingly polarized view toward the mayoralmost certainlyreflects the impact of national issueslikeimmigration,where Republicans and Democrats strongly disagree about how local officials should respond.

Despite the bipartisan drops in approval, 35 percent of respondents still said O’Connell bestrepresentstheir views.That’sdown from 44 percent in 2025, butit’sstill outpacing Metro Council(25 percent), Gov.Bill Lee (24 percent)and theGeneral Assembly(15 percent).

NES lacksNashville’s trust

Of all thesurvey’sfindings, the starkestmay bethelowapproval of Nashville Electric Service. Only 39 percent approve of the jobthe utility isdoing, while 61 percent disapprove. When asked specifically about NES’s handling of the ice storm recovery,the same storyemerges:61 percent disapprove. Asforwhowasmost responsible for problems following the storm, 37 percent blamed NES andonly9 percent blamed the mayor’s office.But notablymost respondents heldMother Natureresponsible—44 percent.Among city services, the survey showedmuchstronger approval for Metro Water Services (60 percent) and Metro Trash and Recycling (57 percent).

Increasing the reliability of city services, such as utilities and trash, is now considered a top priority by 49 percent of Nashvillians, up from 38 percent in 2025—whichalsoislikelydriven, in part, by theconsequences of the ice storm.

Anothernoteworthyfinding: For the first time in survey history, Metro Council faced a disapproving majority. The council’s disapproval rose to 50 percent, while its approval droppedto 48 percent.Other city institutions werelargely stable, with Metro Nashville Fire Department enjoying the highest approval ratings at 95 percent. Metro Nashville Police Department received 72 percent overall approval, amodest4 pointgain from thepreviousyear.

Growing unease about housing, cost of living

Residents expressed growing concerns about populationgrowthandtherising cost of living in Nashville. A full 82 percent report that they cannot afford to buy a house in Davidson County,andonly 36 percentsaidthey plan to buy a house in the county. These economic strains are reflected in the priority of “bringing newgoodjobs to the city” more than doubling—from 18 percent in 2025 to 43 percent in 2026.Only 8 percent of residents rate the condition of Nashville’s economy as “very good,” down from 12 percent in 2025.

“Unaffordability threatens the long-term fabric of the community, and the numbers show that most residents are concerned about being able to afford a home in Nashville,” said 91Ʋ Poll co-director Josh Clinton, who holds the Abby and Jon Winkelried Chair at 91Ʋ and is a professor of political science. “Faced with Nashville’s rapid growth, residents are worried about being priced out of the city they call home.”

Although 73percentof respondentsidentifyhousing affordability as a top priority, supportfor building multifamily housing in local neighborhoods has decreaseda bitsince 2025. More than half (53 percent) of residents now believe multifamily housing, such as duplexes and apartments, should be allowed only in dense areas to preserve the character of less-populated areas. Another 47 percent support allowing multifamily construction citywide to revitalize local economies. This is a reversal from 2025, when the majority supported widespread multifamily housing.

“By a 2-to-1 margin, residents feel that recent changes in Nashville have not been good for the city—from traffic concerns to the pace of population growth,” Geer said. “At the same time, there’s demand for more local job creation. This points to deeper issues of affordability andthe need forNashville’s leadership to prioritizewaysto ease theconcerns of itsresidents.”

Nearly half (48 percent) said recent changes have made their day-to-day lives worse, compared with only 24 percent who said they have made it better. A majority (79 percent) of residents believe Nashville’s population is growing too quickly—a pattern that has been true for more thanfiveyears.These numbers arecongruent with “heavy traffic to and from downtown”emergingas the top reason (cited by 32 percent)thatNashville residents avoid thecity’scenter.

Residents want local improvements, not abstract projects

Nashville residents surveyed want the city to focus more on improving life forneighborhoodsthan on prioritizing niche agendas and abstract, large-scale projects. A vast majority (71 percent) of residents surveyed believe the city government spends too little time addressing problems inneighborhoods generally.

The poll tested public sentiment on several specific city proposals for tunnels andthe racetrack,with notable results. For starters, thepublic’s support forElon Musk’stunnel project is heavily influenced by partisanship.Opposition toconstruction of thetunnelincreases from 35 percent to 51 percent when Musk’snameisexplicitlymentionedin the question. Meanwhile, there islimitedsupport for bringing NASCAR to the racetrack. Twenty-six percent are in favor of the move, but36 percentcall foreliminatingthe racetrack.

Bike lanes, which the O’Connell administration has prioritized, received amixedresponse. Of those surveyed, 45 percent support adding bike lanes—but only where it is easy to do so. Another 28 percent of residents polled do not wantmorebike lanes in the city.

“The data suggests that most residents want the city to focus on real, day-to-day problems in their neighborhoods rather thansome of the larger projects and developments around the city thatare more visible and thereforetend to attract the most attention,” Clinton said.